13
Zambezi Moon
6yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -17.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 80/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |