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Buddy Holly

5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 110

Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#15

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Walk In The Park gelding who shaped with promise in a Punchestown bumper (for Philip Fenton) last spring. Didn't come up to scratch in 3 starts over hurdles for Nicky Henderson and left that yard for £16,000 in May. Handicap debut from a stiff-looking mark back in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 24 · OR - · 2m149y Goo 16429/04C?3 @ Newbury 29/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f118y Sft 15329/1134 @ Ffos Las 30/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 16030/0143 @ Newbury 27/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m4f118y Goo 15427/023projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-27Newbury36th6th0
2026-01-30Ffos Las45th5th0
2025-11-29Newbury33rd3rd0
2025-04-29Punchestown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0429/1130/0127/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -39.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20257th14/126%74%+0.48
29/11/20253rd3/184%75%-0.09
30/01/20265th11/1094%43%-0.51
27/02/20266th6/168%0%-0.68