16
Cornaroya Rocco
5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 96
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#13
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA96 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA94 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 18th | 125/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |