11
Gatehouse Boy
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 99
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 10.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-17 | Killarney | BHA103 | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | BHA104 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-05-29 | Limerick | BHA92 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Clonmel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Naas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Navan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/03/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/03/2025 | 11th | 300/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 03/04/2025 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/04/2025 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/07/2025 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |