3
Ollie La Ba Ba
8yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 109
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C10.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA102 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA110 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | BHA110 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Clonmel | BHA103 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Listowel | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | BHA107 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 16/05/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |