9
Palace Boy
9yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 100
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA104 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | BHA107 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | BHA110 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | BHA112 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Ascot | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2024 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/02/2024 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.03 |
| 29/03/2024 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/05/2024 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 15% | -0.11 |
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 02/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/09/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |