6
Tippawan Haa
7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 104
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Punchestown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |