7
Woodstream Lad
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 102
Listowel · MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA105 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-25 | Downpatrick | BHA102 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | BHA102 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2025 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/06/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 03/07/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 27/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |