2
Big Dee
7yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 98
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA99 | −5 | ||
| 2026-02-10 | Limerick | BHA99 | −5 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Limerick | BHA98 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2025-11-23 | Cork | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 11th | 15th | −4 |
| 2025-08-05 | Roscommon | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2023 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 11/11/2023 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 29/12/2023 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 02/05/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 05/08/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.25 |
| 04/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/11/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |