3
Euro Maker
5yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 97
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA93 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA87 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA87 | 9th | 14th | −4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | BHA85 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Fairyhouse | BHA87 | −4 | ||
| 2025-11-17 | Navan | ? | 17th | 21th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 17/11/2025 | 17th | 125/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 06/04/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.33 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.21 |