1
Game Phoenix
5yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 100
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Wexford | BHA97 | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-10-30 | Thurles | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Navan | BHA46 | 13th | 13th | −0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Navan | BHA46 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.21 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 08/10/2025 | 13th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 30/10/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 14/05/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |