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12

Kingdom Calling

6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86

Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m

#5

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Caused a huge upset when winning a maiden hurdle over C&D 2 years ago. Hasn't replicated that form since but took advantage of a career-low mark reverted to fences at Tramore last time. Only 1 lb higher back over hurdles now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.8
Today:
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA97 @ Clonmel 15/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 97 · 2m3f137y Gd 165 · below its mark15/05/2025 · OR 97 par15/0597OR 97BHA94 @ Killarney 05/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 94 · 2m1f Yie 162 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 94 parBHA94 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 94 · 2m Hvy 163 · below its mark18/11/2025 · OR 94 par18/1194OR 94BHA93 @ Down Royal 26/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 93 · 2m1f53y Yie 161 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 93 parBHA89 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 89 · 2m1f20y Yie 159 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 89 par19/0389OR 89BHA87 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 87 · 1m7f110y Goo 140 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Wexford 30/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 87 · 2m Goo 155 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 87 par30/0687OR 87BHA87 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 87 · 2m1f Goo 143 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 87 parBHA85 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 1m7f140y Gd 153 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 85 par16/0885OR 85projClass-projected finish: 9th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16TramoreBHA851st6th−4
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA874th9th−4
2026-06-30WexfordBHA8710th15th−4
2026-05-29TramoreBHA876th11th−4
2026-03-19CorkBHA8910th15th−4
2026-01-20Down RoyalBHA92−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0526/1230/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/202510th22/10%36%+0.36
05/10/20254th11/142%75%+0.33
18/11/20259th5/174%38%-0.35
26/12/20257th14/126%68%+0.42
19/03/202610th25/10%57%+0.57
29/05/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
30/06/202610th22/10%31%+0.31
16/07/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
16/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39