6
Live To Laugh
7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA94 | −5 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-03-05 | Thurles | BHA94 | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-02-15 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |