13
Me Wee Nanny Fran
4yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 86
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 16.2 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 14th | 18th | −4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | ? | 11th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | ? | 13th | 17th | −4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 13-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/04/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 15/05/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |