18
Rose Mountain
6yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 80
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#17
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 14.1 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | ? | 11th | 15th | −4 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | −4 | ||
| 2025-03-03 | Leopardstown | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-12-21 | Thurles | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 14-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2024 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 03/03/2025 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/08/2026 | 11th | 250/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |