5
You Done Well
5yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95
Listowel · Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA95 | −5 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA95 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA94 | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 11/09/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 10% | -0.32 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 20/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |