13
Cosmos D'ainay
6yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 123
Listowel · Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed) · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
79%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Listowel | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | ? | 9th | 17th | −7 |
| 2025-05-13 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/07/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |