5
Ragmans Corner
7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 134
Listowel · Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed) · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -8.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA81 | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-30 | Galway | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA82 | 8th | 17th | −7 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | BHA127 | 1st | 15th | −12 |
| 2025-11-17 | Navan | BHA126 | 2nd | 16th | −12 |
| 2025-11-01 | Down Royal | BHA125 | 4th | 18th | −12 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/10/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.37 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |