15
Sign From Above
8yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 119
Listowel · Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed) · 2m
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 14.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA71 | 7th | 14th | −6 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA75 | 6th | 14th | −7 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA77 | 6th | 14th | −7 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA121 | 7th | 20th | −11 |
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Dundalk | BHA78 | 10th | 18th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 8-17 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/02/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 72% | +0.72 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |