17
Speed For Fun
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 116
Listowel · Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed) · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-20 | Cartmel | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | −7 | ||
| 2025-06-27 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2024 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 06/09/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 85% | +0.00 |
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/05/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 73% | -0.14 |
| 27/06/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |