8
Venusienne
6yo Mare · 11-3 · OR 133
Listowel · Ballymore Handicap Hurdle (Listed) · 2m
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA122 | 1st | 14th | −11 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Tramore | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-13 | Cheltenham | 1 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2023-09-19 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2023 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 13/03/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 71% | -0.26 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |