10

Isdistheone

6yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 86

Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well supported but shaped as if needing the run when third of 6 in handicap hurdle (2/1) at Wexford (2½m, good) on yard debut 48 days ago. May build on that but others look better treated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m157y Sft 1616/11C?C0 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m50y Sft 165C0 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m4f25y Yie 16127/12C?C8 @ Fairyhouse 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Sft 161C0 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m Yie 16519/03C?C8 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f188y Sft 153C0 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f185y Yie 16514/04C?C8 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f50y Goo 161BHA86 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 86 · 2m4f50y Goo 147 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 86 par8/0886OR 86projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08WexfordBHA863rd3rd0
2026-05-10Cork?10th10th0
2026-04-14Clonmel?6th6th0
2026-03-26Clonmel?5th5th0
2026-03-19Cork?7th7th0
2026-01-15Fairyhouse?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1115/0114/048/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20253rd14/126%78%+0.51
25/11/20254th22/10%40%+0.40
27/12/20256th33/10%38%+0.38
15/01/20266th66/10%55%+0.55
19/03/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
26/03/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
14/04/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
10/05/202610th66/10%36%+0.36
08/08/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29