13
Ixigreczed
8yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 78
Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA81 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA83 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA82 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA84 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | BHA85 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA86 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 37% | +0.21 |
| 03/07/2025 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 17/08/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/05/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 28/05/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/07/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |