15
Jolly D'olivate
7yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 88
Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |