11
Leading Endeavour
7yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 86
Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Cork | BHA89 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA87 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Clonmel | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Fairyhouse | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/02/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 01/03/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/03/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 11/04/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 10/05/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |