8

Pretty Wild

4yo Filly · 11-6 · OR 95

Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced maiden who found some improvement when third of 9 in novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (2½m, good to soft) 21 days ago. Looks a likely improver on handicap hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1476/07C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 14721/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m3f150y Goo 1494/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kilbeggan?3rd3rd0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?5th5th0
2026-07-06Roscommon?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0721/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -20.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20269th20/10%43%+0.43
21/07/20265th100/10%71%+0.71
04/09/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01