1
Pure Logic
6yo Mare · 12-0 · OR 100
Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA94 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | BHA94 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Stratford | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA94 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |