16

Rumble Demosa

5yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 90

Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Never dangerous in a trio of maiden hurdles, eleventh of 19 at Galway over shorter trip last month. Appeals as type to improve on switch to handicapping, though. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 15313/06C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 15124/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 2m175y Goo 1591/08C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Galway?11th11th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?7th7th0
2026-06-13Downpatrick?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0624/071/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
24/07/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
01/08/202611th200/10%44%+0.44