17
Silin Alainn
7yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 81
Listowel · Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA82 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Limerick | BHA86 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2024-06-11 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-05-27 | Ballinrobe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-05-07 | Ballinrobe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-04-19 | Ballinrobe | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2024 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 07/05/2024 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 27/05/2024 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 11/06/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 19/10/2024 | 17th | 40/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.01 |