11
Inchidaly Copper
10yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102
Listowel · Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 3f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Tramore | BHA92 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA105 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA93 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA94 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Cork | BHA95 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | BHA94 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 62% | -0.21 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 13/08/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |