4
Kings Jet
6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 108
Listowel · Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 3f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA107 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Kilbeggan | BHA107 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA110 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA113 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-21 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 02/08/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 41% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |