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12

Tippin And Tappin

7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 102

Listowel · Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 3f

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seemingly hasn't been the easiest to train. Successful both handicap chase starts at Limerick/Killarney last year. Back on track third time up this season, jumping well/knuckling down to finish 1¾-length second (ahead of Kings Jet) at Killarney. Should be in the mix off 2 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 05/11/2023 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 2m Sft 1615/11C8BHA97 @ Thurles 23/11/2023 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 97 · 2m46y Yie 163 · below its mark23/11/2023 · OR 97 parC0 @ Kilbeggan 02/06/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f80y Goo 1662/06C?C0 @ Clonmel 07/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m85y Gd 166C0 @ Tipperary 02/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f70y Goo 1662/07C?BHA87 @ Limerick 22/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 87 · 2m6f160y Goo 155 · beat its mark22/05/2025 · OR 87 parBHA92 @ Killarney 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 92 · 2m7f Yie 160 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 92 par18/0792OR 92BHA95 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 95 · 2m Goo 164 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 95 parBHA100 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 100 · 2m4f180y Goo 159 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 100 par20/08100OR 100projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA1002nd2nd0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA1000
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA958th8th0
2025-07-18KillarneyBHA921st1st0
2025-05-22LimerickBHA871st1st0
2024-08-06RoscommonBHA880

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/117/0618/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20239th28/10%53%+0.53
23/11/202311th22/10%29%+0.29
02/06/20248th66/10%0%0.00
07/06/20246th66/10%44%+0.44
02/07/20247th250/10%45%+0.45
22/05/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
18/07/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
13/05/20268th14/126%59%+0.32
20/08/20262nd11/142%90%+0.48