11

Anna Quaintance

4yo Filly · 11-9

Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Waldgeist filly who improved on debut form under a change of tactics (dictated) when fourth of 11 in 17f bumper at Downpatrick 4 weeks ago. Needs to take another step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 2m140y Goo 16216/08C?C0 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15528/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Down Royal?4th4th0
2026-08-16Tramore?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
28/08/20264th20/10%70%+0.70