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15

Birdie Conway

4yo Filly · 11-9

Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Jet Away filly. Dam unraced sister to Champion Bumper winner The Mourne Rambler. Shaped like a stayer when sixth of 19 in valuable sales bumper at Punchestown (17f) on debut in April, finishing with running left. Entitled to do better. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR - · 2m132y Yie 15728/04C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-28Punchestown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20266th33/10%72%+0.72