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Discussion
7yo Mare · 11-11
Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-02-04 | Leopardstown | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -27.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2023 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 04/02/2024 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/03/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 76% | +0.03 |