5

Killeedy

5yo Mare · 11-11

Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Jukebox Jury mare. Sister to bumper winner/fairly useful 2¼m hurdle winner Korinthia. Showed ability despite a wider trip than ideal when fourth of 12 in a Killarney bumper (17f) on debut in June, plugging on. Went backwards at Kilbeggan last time but was found to be coughing post-race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 15817/07C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1613/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?6th6th0
2026-07-17Killarney?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -66.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20264th5/174%73%-0.01
03/09/20266th3/184%17%-0.68