17

Miss Willow Grey

4yo Filly · 11-9

Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m

#14

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Went with little encouragement when down the field in academy hurdle (66/1) at Punchestown (19f, heavy) on debut 10 months ago. Has left D. Deacon. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 13/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f132y Hvy 14913/11C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-13Punchestown?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/202511th66/10%23%+0.23