6
Mistakenforanother
5yo Mare · 11-11
Listowel · Shanahan Power Irish EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |