3
Antrim Coast
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA121 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA122 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | BHA124 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Killarney | BHA124 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Galway | BHA123 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 20/04/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 95% | +0.24 |
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 31/07/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |