4
Anyway
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA136 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Musselburgh | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Cheltenham | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Galway | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 24/11/2024 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/12/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/03/2025 | 2nd | 125/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 59% | -0.10 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |