5
Ben Vrackie
11yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 85
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-26 | Listowel | BHA94 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-09-18 | Tramore | BHA81 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-08-30 | Wexford | BHA82 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2024-08-05 | Cork | BHA82 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-07-13 | Wexford | BHA82 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2023-03-31 | Wexford | BHA85 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 14-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2022 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 16/10/2022 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/10/2022 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 12/03/2023 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 13/07/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 05/08/2024 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |
| 30/08/2024 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/09/2024 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/09/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |