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7

Delta

4yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 93

Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful sort who landed a Fairyhouse maiden over shorter last summer. Become rather frustrating and expensive to follow since, albeit far from disgraced in form terms when fourth at Tramore (2m) 6 weeks ago. Still, he holds excellent claims on these terms and ought to be firmly in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 29/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13329/09C8C8 @ Leopardstown 11/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 1341 @ Navan 17/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f Goo 13117/051C8 @ Fairyhouse 13/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 92 · 1m3f200y Goo 132 · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 92 parBHA92 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m6f55y Hvy 142 · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 92 par23/0992OR 92BHA92 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 24 · OR 92 · 1m6f Gd 142 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 92 parBHA92 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 92 · 2m76y Goo 132 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 92 par26/0692OR 92BHA91 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m7f Goo 166 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 91 parBHA93 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 93 · 2m Goo 147 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 93 par15/0893OR 93projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15TramoreBHA934th4th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA912nd2nd0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA9210th10th0
2026-05-24CurraghBHA924th4th0
2025-09-23ListowelBHA925th5th0
2025-06-13Fairyhouse?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0913/0626/0615/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20246th14/126%62%+0.35
11/05/20252nd13/266%86%+0.20
17/05/20253rd13/266%67%+0.01
13/06/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
23/09/20255th7/282%20%-0.62
24/05/20264th12/137%87%+0.50
26/06/202610th9/488%10%-0.78
09/07/20262nd4/696%75%-0.21
15/08/20264th9/488%57%-0.31