8
Ebony King
5yo Gelding · 11-0
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -14.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |