9
Enniskerry
12yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 84
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Tipperary | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Killarney | BHA89 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Galway | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-27 | Leopardstown | BHA134 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2024 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.16 |
| 29/09/2024 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 66% | +0.60 |
| 02/11/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.23 |
| 01/12/2024 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 61% | +0.03 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |