17
Kidam Roque
6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 58
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Dundalk | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Dundalk | BHA67 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 06/06/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 28/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |