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Maidenstreetprince

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful jumps performer who ran right up to his best when second of 13 in handicap chase at Gowran (2m, heavy) when last seen during the spring. However, betting can likely prove a good guide now debuting in this sphere following 6 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C12.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 06/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m4y Gd 1666/02C?BHA127 @ Leopardstown 03/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 127 · 2m1f Yie 166 · below its mark03/03/2025 · OR 127 parBHA125 @ Clonmel 27/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 125 · 2m4f Goo 166 · below its mark27/03/2025 · OR 125 par27/03125OR 125BHA125 @ Cork 20/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 125 · 2m1f25y Yie 166 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 125 parBHA127 @ Kilbeggan 16/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 127 · 2m4f51y Goo 166 · below its mark16/06/2025 · OR 127 par16/06127OR 127BHA125 @ Killarney 18/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 125 · 2m1f Yie 153 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 125 parBHA126 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 126 · 2m142y Yie 166 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 126 par5/08126OR 126BHA124 @ Thurles 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 124 · 2m2f Sft 166 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 124 parBHA122 @ Gowran Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 122 · 2m Hvy 150 · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 122 par7/03122OR 122projClass-projected finish: 4th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-07Gowran ParkBHA1222nd2nd0
2026-02-19ThurlesBHA1243rd3rd0
2025-12-14NavanBHA1200
2025-08-05RoscommonBHA1263rd3rd0
2025-07-18KillarneyBHA1253rd3rd0
2025-06-16KilbegganBHA1275th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0220/045/087/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20256th125/10%64%+0.64
03/03/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
27/03/20253rd17/255%71%+0.16
20/04/20253rd20/10%80%+0.80
16/06/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
18/07/20253rd14/126%75%+0.49
05/08/20253rd15/890%60%-0.30
19/02/20263rd22/10%83%+0.83
07/03/20262nd14/126%92%+0.65