11

Minella Hollow

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual bumper winner who put his experience to good use with fitness assured when making his fourth hurdles start a winning one at Killarney (16.5f) 5 weeks ago, holding on gamely. Not discounted on Flat debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 28/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m75y Goo 16228/05C?C0 @ Roscommon 10/06/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m7f142y Gd 16610/06C?1 @ Cheltenham 17/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m87y Goo 15617/111C8 @ Navan 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f165y Yie 16620/09C8C8 @ Limerick 19/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m70y Yie 16619/10C8C8 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f110y Yie 1664/08C8C8 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 112 · 2m100y Goo 166 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 112 par22/08C8OR 112projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?1st1st0
2026-08-04Roscommon?4th4th0
2025-10-19Limerick?3rd3rd0
2025-09-20Navan?4th4th0
2024-11-17Cheltenham14th4th0
2024-06-10Roscommon?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0520/0922/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength40%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20241st7/282%100%+0.18
10/06/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
17/11/20244th10/1195%40%-0.55
20/09/20254th10/382%80%-0.02
19/10/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
04/08/20264th5/287%75%-0.12
22/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29