15
World Of Fortunes
8yo Mare · 10-9
Listowel · Listowel Races Supporters Club Failte Abhaile (Q.R.) Race In Memory Of Pat Scanlon · 1m 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ayr | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Kelso | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Punchestown | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Doncaster | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Ballinrobe | BHA130 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 20/04/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |