5
Lady Amelie
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 38
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |