4
Tai Tai Rush
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 57
Meadowlands · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 25/04/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |